On Tuesday 13 August 2002 17:12, Alan Grimes wrote:
> If AI is even 1/10th as powerful as the projections I've been
> reading,[....]

5 years before the projected date (Smalltalk's 60th birthday?) they will 
be 1/10th as powerful :-)

Of course, Ray Kurzweil would say this is far too pessimistic since we 
are talking about a double exponential growth and not simply Moore's 
law (don't try http://www.kurzweilai.net in Netscape/Linux or you will 
get into an infinite recursion).

Jaron Lenier claims that we have already reached the limit of what we 
can build in software and that faster hardware won't help. 
http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/lanier/lanier_index.html
I don't agree with him - computing power does matter. Alice Squeak isn't 
a photorealistic 3D world because we don't know how to do it (we 
learned about ray tracing, radiosity algorithms and so on) but only 
because our machines are too slow.

-- Jecel